Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000920 0.000956 0.000991 0.001031 0.001072 0.001115 0.001163
2025-09-28 0.000853 0.000905 0.000959 0.001020 0.001087 0.001159 0.001242
2025-10-05 0.000784 0.000844 0.000908 0.000983 0.001068 0.001161 0.001274
2025-10-12 0.000747 0.000815 0.000890 0.000979 0.001082 0.001200 0.001345
2025-10-19 0.000717 0.000792 0.000875 0.000976 0.001096 0.001235 0.001414
2025-10-26 0.000689 0.000768 0.000857 0.000967 0.001101 0.001261 0.001470
2025-11-02 0.000670 0.000753 0.000849 0.000969 0.001118 0.001299 0.001543
2025-11-09 0.000646 0.000732 0.000832 0.000959 0.001119 0.001317 0.001590
2025-11-16 0.000625 0.000713 0.000816 0.000949 0.001118 0.001333 0.001633
2025-11-23 0.000618 0.000710 0.000820 0.000963 0.001148 0.001388 0.001733
2025-11-30 0.000606 0.000701 0.000815 0.000965 0.001164 0.001424 0.001808
2025-12-07 0.000589 0.000684 0.000800 0.000954 0.001160 0.001435 0.001846
2025-12-14 0.000571 0.000666 0.000783 0.000940 0.001152 0.001439 0.001877
2025-12-21 0.000557 0.000653 0.000772 0.000934 0.001154 0.001458 0.001930
2025-12-28 0.000534 0.000627 0.000744 0.000903 0.001122 0.001426 0.001905
2026-01-04 0.000523 0.000618 0.000737 0.000900 0.001128 0.001449 0.001964
2026-01-11 0.000514 0.000609 0.000730 0.000898 0.001134 0.001472 0.002025
2026-01-18 0.000503 0.000599 0.000720 0.000891 0.001134 0.001485 0.002070
2026-01-25 0.000496 0.000593 0.000717 0.000892 0.001145 0.001515 0.002146
2026-02-01 0.000485 0.000582 0.000706 0.000883 0.001141 0.001523 0.002183
2026-02-08 0.000475 0.000571 0.000696 0.000875 0.001136 0.001529 0.002218
2026-02-15 0.000473 0.000572 0.000700 0.000887 0.001163 0.001585 0.002346
2026-02-22 0.000468 0.000567 0.000698 0.000889 0.001175 0.001618 0.002434